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BERİL DEDEOĞLU b.dedeoglu@todayszaman.com Columnists

An opportunity for the Aegean Sea?


The long-running conflict between France and Germany over the Alsace-Lorraine region proved that wars don’t always bring the expected results. In that particular case, the two peoples finally noticed that antagonism was hurting the ordinary people because of the high military expenditure and human losses.

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Besides, the ongoing antagonism was boosting authoritarian trends in both countries. History has taught us that problems that can instigate wars can also constitute the basis of a solid peace. After all, the reconciliation between France and Germany paved the way for the most successful integration movement ever.

Currently, Turkey and Greece are struggling with different but equally critical problems. Greece has serious socio-economic problems, and the regime is being put to the test in Turkey. Many things have been said about the reasons for Greece’s economic crisis but the fact that Athens has wasted the European Union’s financial assistance is regularly emphasized. However, very few ask why the EU was not sufficiently careful before and did not control how the EU funds were being used. Perhaps those who have financed Greece’s deficit were hoping that the Greeks would use this money to trade with them. At least that’s what Greece has done until now. But now it can neither continue to trade nor pay its debt. Recently, some people in Germany, which is Greece’s main creditor, have said Greece must consider selling some of its uninhabited islands. This proposal reminds us of people who buy the equipment of bankrupt firms. The Greeks are irritated by this proposal and their confidence regarding their European partners has declined.

The Greek Islands not only have touristic value, they are strategically important, and perhaps the idea of getting rid of some of them is a way to say that Greece should modify its strategic priorities. Maybe Greece should consider cutting down its military spending, mainly inspired by antagonistic policies toward Turkey. In fact, a similar situation is also valid for the latter. The “Sledgehammer” plan revealed some time ago contains interesting data: according to this plan’s instigators, a war in the Aegean would be very useful to facilitate a coup in Turkey. For those in Turkey who want to pursue authoritarian rule, Greece should continue to play its role as a security risk or a concrete threat because if Turkish society is convinced that war is highly likely, it will easily believe that only military methods can save the country. If that happens, no one would think about questioning military spending in Turkey, either. This approach has always constituted a part of the background of the problems in the Aegean Sea. However, if one tries to see who has benefited the most from the ongoing tension between the two countries, one will notice the role of third players.

Nowadays, the two neighbors have serious domestic problems. Even though the nature of these problems is very different, they are somehow connected to the Aegean Sea, and third actors are still playing their roles. On the one hand, there is the EU, which wants to increase its influence in the Mediterranean region, and on the other, there is the US, which would turn the place upside down to preserve its current influence, without forgetting Russia, which has never abandoned its will to be present in the same region.

Would it be that bad if the two countries modify their strategic concepts and declare that they don’t see each other as a principal threat from now on, laying the ground for an international regime in the Aegean to develop investments, explore oil resources and increase trade? This is perhaps the right time.

10 March 2010, Wednesday
BERİL DEDEOĞLU
Comments on this article

dimitris kipouros , Mar 10 2010 10:37, Wednesday
"Would it be that bad if the two countries modify their concepts and declare that they don’t see each other as a threat ...
Brett Oslo , Mar 10 2010 07:42, Wednesday
I totally aggree. A good first step to erase all antagonism in the Aegean is for all ethnic Turks in Cyprus and the Turk...

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Columnists
ABDULHAMİT BİLİCİ
ABDULLAH BOZKURT
ALİ BULAÇ
ALİ H. ASLAN
AMANDA PAUL
ANDREW FINKEL
ASIM ERDİLEK
AYŞE KARABAT
BEJAN MATUR
BERİL DEDEOĞLU
BERK ÇEKTİR
BÜLENT KENEŞ
BÜLENT KORUCU
CHARLOTTE MCPHERSON
DOĞU ERGİL
EKREM DUMANLI
EMRE USLU
ETYEN MAHÇUPYAN
FATMA DİŞLİ ZIBAK
FİKRET ERTAN
GÜRKAN ZENGİN
HASAN KANBOLAT
HÜSEYİN GÜLERCE
İBRAHİM KALIN
İBRAHİM ÖZTÜRK
İHSAN DAĞI
İHSAN YILMAZ
KATHY HAMILTON
KERİM BALCI
KLAUS JURGENS
LALE KEMAL
MEHMET KAMIŞ
MICHAEL KUSER
MUHAMMED ÇETİN
MÜMTAZER TÜRKÖNE
NICOLE POPE
ÖMER TAŞPINAR
ORHAN KEMAL CENGİZ
PAT YALE
ŞAHİN ALPAY
SELÇUK GÜLTAŞLI
SUAT KINIKLIOĞLU
YAVUZ BAYDAR